Prediction Market Position Sizing: A Kelly Risk Guide
Prediction market position sizing is the decision about how much capital to risk on an event contract. Start with an
Posts by Ulysses Cornelius
Kalshi Tribal Lands Ruling: What Changes After Remand
The Kalshi tribal lands ruling gives two California tribes a stronger basis to seek restrictions on sports event contracts entered
Fed Rate Hike September 2026: What the New Outlook Means
The Fed rate hike in September 2026 lifted the federal funds target range to 3.75%-4%. The quarter-point increase
Practice a Daily Loss Limit With Paper Trading
To practice a daily loss limit with paper trading, write the session's loss boundary before placing an order,
J.B. Hunt Stock Falls After Q3 Earnings Warning
J.B. Hunt stock fell more than 10% on September 16 after management warned that third-quarter earnings could decline 5%
Prediction Market News Trading: A Source-First Guide
Prediction market news trading means revising an event forecast when new information arrives, then checking whether an executable contract price
CLARITY Act Senate Vote Today: What the 2:15 ET Test Means
The Senate votes at 2:15 p.m. ET on whether to advance the CLARITY Act. See the 60-vote threshold, live market odds, and what comes next.
How to Read Prediction Market Odds Before You Trade
To read prediction market odds, treat a 72-cent Yes contract as a 72% market-implied probability before fees and execution costs.
How to Practice Trade Management With Bar Replay
Practicing entries is easy to understand. Wait for a setup, then choose a price and click. Trade management is harder
Prediction Market Fees: Calculate Your Break-Even Odds
Prediction market fees raise the probability a forecast must achieve to break even. Add the entry fee to the contract