Kalshi Tribal Lands Ruling: What Changes After Remand
The Kalshi tribal lands ruling gives two California tribes a stronger basis to seek restrictions on sports event contracts entered
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Prediction Market News Trading: A Source-First Guide
Prediction market news trading means revising an event forecast when new information arrives, then checking whether an executable contract price
CLARITY Act Senate Vote Today: What the 2:15 ET Test Means
The Senate votes at 2:15 p.m. ET on whether to advance the CLARITY Act. See the 60-vote threshold, live market odds, and what comes next.
How to Read Prediction Market Odds Before You Trade
To read prediction market odds, treat a 72-cent Yes contract as a 72% market-implied probability before fees and execution costs.
Prediction Market Fees: Calculate Your Break-Even Odds
Prediction market fees raise the probability a forecast must achieve to break even. Add the entry fee to the contract
Prediction Market Resolution Risk: A Pre-Trade Guide
Prediction market resolution risk is the chance that a contract settles differently from the outcome a trader expected because of
Prediction Market Liquidity: How to Measure Trading Cost
Prediction market liquidity is the amount of executable interest available near the quoted price. A liquid contract has a narrow
CME Event Contracts Wind Down for Sports and Awards
By Ulysses Cornelius. Educational market analysis, not financial advice. Sources and regulatory details were checked at 2:20 p.m.
ESMA Prediction Markets Report Flags EU Access Risk
By Ulysses Cornelius. Educational market analysis, not financial advice. Sources and regulatory context were checked as of 8:10 a.
Connecticut Orders Prediction Markets to Halt Sports Wagers
By Ulysses Cornelius. Educational market analysis, not financial advice. Sources and regulatory context were checked as of 8:15 p.