Fed Rate Hike Odds Reach 70% After August PPI
By Ulysses Cornelius. Educational market analysis, not financial advice. Sources and market context were checked as of 3:00 p.
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Houthis Seize Mocha: Bab el-Mandeb Risk Watch
By Ulysses Cornelius. Educational market analysis, not financial advice. Sources and market context were checked as of 11:50 a.
Prediction Markets vs Stocks, Futures and Crypto
Compare prediction markets with stocks, commodity and index futures, and crypto across payoffs, arbitrage, execution, and risk.
Treasury Buyback Jumps to $6 Billion as Yields Rise
By Ulysses Cornelius. Educational market analysis, not financial advice. Source and market context were checked at 11:30 a.m.
Cronos Rollback Reverses $111M After Tectonic Exploit
Cronos validators erased nearly two hours of chain history after a $120.4 million Tectonic exploit. Here is the market-structure risk map.
Iran Announces Gulf Restricted Zone Near Hormuz
By Ulysses Cornelius. Educational market analysis, not financial advice. Source and market context were checked during the 8:32 a.
OPEC+ October Oil Output Pause: A Futures Risk Map
By Ulysses Cornelius. Educational market analysis, not financial advice. Source context is current as of 12:10 p.m. ET
US Strikes Iranian Oil Tankers: Weekend Risk Watch
TL;DR * US strikes on Iranian oil tankers became a weekend market risk after US Central Command said Iran fired
August Jobs Report Sends 2-Year Yield to Highest Since 2025
By Ulysses Cornelius. Educational market analysis, not financial advice. Source and market context is current as of 8:50 a.
Polymarket Perpetual Futures Launch With Up to 20x Exposure
Polymarket has added perpetual futures with up to 20x exposure for eligible international users. Here is what changed and the risks to check.