Risk Watch: US-Iran Overnight Exchange Threatens Ceasefire as Oil Holds $95 and Bitcoin Tests Key Support
This is a Risk Watch post: confirmed facts first, forward-looking scenarios second. The ceasefire deal reported below has not been
Tag
tagged with ""
Oil at $95 as Iran Ceasefire Wobbles: Nasdaq Futures, Bitcoin, and the May Jobs Wildcard
Three forces are pushing on risk assets heading into Friday's US open. Oil has recovered to $95 per
Iran Peace Deal in 'Final Stage': Dow Hits Record, Oil Falls 3%
TL;DR The US House passed a war powers resolution to halt Iran hostilities on June 3, and President Trump
WTI Crude Falls 4% as Iran Peace Signals Strip Out Geopolitical Risk Premium
TL;DR WTI crude oil fell roughly 4% on June 4, settling near $92 per barrel, while Brent crude dropped
Broadcom AI Guidance Shock Drags Nasdaq as Dow Hits Record
📊Market Flash: June 4, 2026, 9:15 p.m. ET. U.S. markets closed. Data reflects official Thursday closing prices
Oil Falls 3% on Iran Ceasefire Signals; Dow Hits Record as Risk Rotates
Prices as of the June 4 close: WTI crude at $93.04 | Brent at $95.03 | Dow Jones at 51,
Bitcoin Falls to Pre-War Lows as Strategy Breaks 3-Year Buy Streak and ETF Outflows Hit Day 11
TL;DR Bitcoin fell below $62,000 on June 4, 2026, to its lowest level since the US-Iran war began
Iran Deal Progress Drives Dow to Record as Oil Drops and Broadcom Shocks Chip Stocks
TL;DR * Reports that President Trump is unwilling to restart full-scale combat with Iran, combined with a confirmed Israel-Lebanon ceasefire
Oil Drops 3% on Trump Iran De-escalation Report; Dow Extends Rally as Energy Risk Premium Unwinds
TL;DR * WTI crude fell 3.5% to $92.64 per barrel and Brent dropped more than 3% to $94.
Broadcom Falls 14%, Nasdaq Slides as Bitcoin Drops Below Pre-War Levels
TL;DR Broadcom (AVGO) fell nearly 14% Thursday after delivering record AI chip revenue but missing on software sales and